From Bloomberg this morning as stocks tumble:

“This is a systemic financial crisis, there is no end to it,” Nouriel Roubini, professor of economics and international business at New York University, told Bloomberg Television. “It’s a vicious circle between a contracting economy and greater credit and financial losses feeding on the economy.”

President Bush reminds us that the system is “basically sound”:

WASHINGTON (AP) - President Bush urged lawmakers on Tuesday to move quickly in putting into force legislation designed to help prop up mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac while declaring the nation’s financial system to be “basically sound.”

My thoughts?

Well - I don’t think the government should move too quickly on the Fannie and Freddie bailouts. I don’t trust them to get it right this quickly. Too many variables, too many unknowns. Take a deep breath, try to really understand what the best solution is to this problem. The last thing you want to do is panic. At the end of the day it’s investors who are losing money right now - and that’s the game they play, and the government can come in at anytime in the future with a more sensible plan and rescue the market. I just want to caution against hastily put together plans.

---

Copyright Notice: © 2007-2008 Shailesh Ghimire (Arizona Mortgage Guru). This Feed is for personal non-commercial use only. If you are not reading this material in your news

Share This

I came across an interesting post at The Liscio Report called “Presidential economics: Do parties matter?” And as I read through it I came across some interesting analysis and I realized there may be come misconceptions about which party really does what. Democrats are believed to be fiscally irresponsible, spenders and Republicans are supposed to be fiscally responsible and small government. Which should technically result in bloated budgets with lots of deficits for Democrats and trimmed outlays with balanced budgets for Republicans. I know in recent years fiscal responsibilty has been thrown out the window, but that seems to fit the pattern and does not appear to be an anaomoly.

Take a look at this chart:

This is not what I would have expected. Democrats lowering the budget deficits and Republicans increasing it for the most part? Are we being misled here then? Do the parties have a branding issue? This is how the authors explain it:

Though the picture so far is of the Republicans as the party of austerity and the Democrats as the party of stimulus, there’s a surprise when it comes to changes in the federal deficit: Republicans are more liberal with the red ink than Dems. On average, a Republican in the White House has meant a shift of –1.9% of GDP in the government’s budget balance (i.e., towards smaller surpluses or bigger deficits), while a Dem has meant a 1.5% improvement in the budget position (or 1.8%, if you start in 1949, thereby omitting the huge World War II deficit). And in this case, the average is a faithful representation of the distribution, with only one Democrat in the minus column and only one Republican in the plus.

Some of this reflects different tax policies, with Reagan and Bush 43 cutting, and Clinton raising income taxes. But it also reflects the partisan difference in GDP growth.

Read the whole thing. Certainly makes you think, doesn’t it?

Hat tip: The Big Picture

---

Copyright Notice: © 2007-2008 Shailesh Ghimire (Arizona Mortgage Guru). This Feed is for personal non-commercial use only. If you are not reading this material in your news aggregator, the site you are looking at is guilty of copyright infringement. Please contact sghimire@gmail.com so we can take legal action immediately.

Share This

With stocks down 98% from a year ago, rising loan delinquencies and very little liquidity, Indymac, one of the nations top 10 mortgage lenders is done! It’s closing its wholesale and retail operations as well as halting any new locks. At one time IndyMac was a major player in the “Alt-A” market (loans with risk levels between subprime and prime). From Bloomberg earlier today:

IndyMac, the second-biggest independent U.S. mortgage lender last year behind Countrywide Financial Corp., has lost almost $900 million in the nine months ended in March amid tumbling home prices. The company is focusing on mortgages that can be sold to government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

If you are in the market for a home mortgage and were working with a mortgage broker, call your broker to ask if the loan was to be placed with IndyMac. You’ll need a new lender!

In other bleak news, it was disclosed today that Fannie and Freddie may be required to raise as much as $85 billion in additional capital. To be fair it’s due to new accounting rules, but still the markets were in turmoil.

---

Copyright Notice: © 2007-2008 Shailesh Ghimire (Arizona Mortgage Guru). This Feed is for personal non-commercial use only. If you are not reading this material in your news aggregator, the site you are looking at is guilty of copyright infringement. Please contact sghimire@gmail.com so we can take legal action immediately.

Share This